Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021

Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Pinto play Villanueva del Pardillo CF in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Pinto averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Villanueva del Pardillo CF averaged 1.22 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Pinto won 0, Villanueva del Pardillo CF won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 2, 2021 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Atletico Pinto and 1.18 for Villanueva del Pardillo CF. This points to a Villanueva del Pardillo CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Atletico Pinto

24%

Draws

40%

Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Atletico Pinto picked up more points recently compared to Villanueva del Pardillo CF.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Atletico Pinto Clean Sheet 20%

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Pinto	Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	13	14
Draws	6	10
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.13	1.22
Goals Conceded	1.3	0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Atletico Pinto

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

May 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Atletico Pinto vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Pinto 36 / 100

Villanueva del Pardillo CF 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Pinto Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villanueva del Pardillo CF or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Pinto attacking → ← attacking Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Pinto scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Atletico Pinto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 52

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75