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Atletico Porteno vs Fuerza Amarilla

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2020
Sun, Oct 11, 2020
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Porteno host Fuerza Amarilla in the Serie B 2020. This one's hard to separate. Fuerza Amarilla have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Atletico Porteno have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Atletico Porteno slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 21, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.06, favoring Atletico Porteno. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico Porteno
30%
Draws
34%
Fuerza Amarilla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Porteno lately — more wins on the board than Fuerza Amarilla.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Porteno's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 20%
Fuerza Amarilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Porteno Fuerza Amarilla
Matches Played 34 16
Wins 12 2
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2020 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Oct 11, 2020 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Sep 4, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Atletico Porteno
0:2
Aug 16, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Atletico Porteno
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Porteno 36 / 100
Fuerza Amarilla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Porteno Fuerza Amarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Porteno found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Fuerza Amarilla conceded in 63% of 16 recent games.

Atletico Porteno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Porteno VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Porteno

(Home)
13 Oct
Buhos ULVR
4 : 3
Atletico Porteno
06 Oct
Atletico Porteno
2 : 1
Cumbaya
30 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Atletico Porteno
22 Sept
Atletico Porteno
1 : 1
EL Nacional
15 Sept
Atletico Santo Domingo
2 : 0
Atletico Porteno
Page 1 of 7

Fuerza Amarilla

(Away)
14 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
America de Quito
08 Nov
Atletico Santo Domingo
0 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
04 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
0 : 0
Independiente Juniors
31 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
25 Oct
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
Santa Rita
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1896327:1633
2Manta1895426:1832
3America de Quito1884620:1428
4Atletico Porteno1875615:1526
5Chacaritas1858523:2623
6Gualaceo1864821:2122
7Independiente Juniors1848619:2420
8Atletico Santo Domingo1848612:1920
9Fuerza Amarilla1839614:1918
10Santa Rita1837819:2416
Promotion - Liga Pro 2021 (First stage)