Sport Picks
Atletico Rafal vs Mercadal Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
Mercadal in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mercadal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mercadal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico Rafal haven't matched Mercadal's recent run of results.
- Mercadal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 20%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Rafal | Mercadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Mercadal
2:2
Dec 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Atletico Rafal
1:1
Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Mercadal
3:4
Aug 25, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Atletico Rafal
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Rafal 10 / 100
Mercadal 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Rafal Mercadal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mercadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Mercadal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
Atletico Rafal scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Atletico Rafal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mercadal
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Rafal
(Home) 17 May
UD Poblense
9 : 1 Atletico Rafal
09 May
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 CD Son Cladera
03 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 0 Atletico Rafal
26 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 Mercadal
18 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 1 Atletico Rafal
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 CD Son Cladera
26 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 Mercadal
11 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 4 Ferriolense
28 Mar
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 Platges de Calvia
15 Mar
Atletico Rafal
1 : 2 Constancia
Page 1 of 3
Mercadal
(Away) 26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Mercadal
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2 Arenal
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2 Mercadal
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2 Alcudia
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Mercadal
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2 Mercadal
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0 Mercadal
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1 Mercadal
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0 Mercadal
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 90:27 | 83 |
| 2 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 75:33 | 80 |
| 3 | Formentera | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 58:27 | 80 |
| 4 | Binissalem | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 56:31 | 67 |
| 5 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 55:53 | 65 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 7 | Alcudia | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 59:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 17 | 3 | 18 | 47:51 | 54 |
| 9 | Llosetense | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54:53 | 54 |
| 10 | Manacor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 63:62 | 53 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 60:60 | 53 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 41:40 | 49 |
| 13 | Campos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 51:54 | 47 |
| 14 | Ferriolense | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 41:50 | 45 |
| 15 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42:65 | 42 |
| 16 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 47:60 | 40 |
| 17 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 38 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 43:84 | 37 |
| 19 | Felanitx | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27:65 | 26 |
| 20 | Santanyi | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26:93 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
