Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014

Atletico Rafal

1 - 0

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Rafal in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Rafal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Atletico Rafal

22%

Draws

60%

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Penya Ciutadella Esportiva lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Rafal.
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 20%

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Rafal	Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	5
Draws	9	9
Losses	17	17
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Atletico Rafal

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Sep 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Atletico Rafal vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Mar 29, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Atletico Rafal vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Nov 2, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Atletico Rafal

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rafal 20 / 100

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Rafal Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penya Ciutadella Esportiva conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Rafal's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico Rafal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 2.13

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mallorca B	38	25	8	5	90:27	83
2	Pena Deportiva	38	24	8	6	75:33	80
3	Formentera	38	24	8	6	58:27	80
4	Binissalem	38	18	13	7	56:31	67
5	Mercadal	38	19	8	11	55:53	65
6	UD Poblense	38	17	13	8	60:35	64
7	Alcudia	38	16	12	10	59:41	60
8	Penya Ciutadella Esportiva	38	17	3	18	47:51	54
9	Llosetense	38	15	9	14	54:53	54
10	Manacor	38	14	11	13	63:62	53
11	Collerense	38	16	5	17	60:60	53
12	Platges de Calvia	38	12	13	13	41:40	49
13	Campos	38	12	11	15	51:54	47
14	Ferriolense	38	12	9	17	41:50	45
15	Atletico Rafal	38	10	12	16	42:65	42
16	El Espinar Sant Rafel	38	10	10	18	47:60	40
17	CD Montuiri	38	10	8	20	42:53	38
18	Rotlet Molinar	38	11	4	23	43:84	37
19	Felanitx	38	6	8	24	27:65	26
20	Santanyi	38	2	7	29	26:93	13