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Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Parintins

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) in this Amazonense 2 2022 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
15%
Draws
85%
Parintins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parintins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Parintins have won more games recently than Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas).
  • Model gives Parintins a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Parintins arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas), who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 20%
Parintins Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Parintins
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.55 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2024 Amazonense
Parintins vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
7:0
Feb 12, 2023 Amazonense
Parintins vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:1
Sep 21, 2022 Amazonense 2
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Parintins
3:1
Sep 3, 2022 Amazonense 2
Parintins vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
Parintins 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Parintins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parintins Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Parintins conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Parintins lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Parintins
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

(Home)
22 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1 : 4
Princesa do Solimoes
19 Mar
Parintins
7 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
16 Mar
Manauara
8 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
10 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2 : 4
Sao Raimundo AM
06 Feb
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 6

Parintins

(Away)
14 Mar
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2 : 0
Parintins
07 Mar
Manaus FC
1 : 2
Parintins
04 Mar
Parintins
2 : 0
Princesa do Solimoes
01 Mar
Parintins
0 : 0
Amazonas
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
RB do Norte 1
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10
Parintins 3
Unidos do Alvorada 2
Final
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 3
Parintins 1