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Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Princesa do Solimoes

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Warlei
40' Event
Ferreira R.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Victor Ramon

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2024 game between Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) and Princesa do Solimoes finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Princesa do Solimoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
6%
Draws
90%
Princesa do Solimoes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Princesa do Solimoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Princesa do Solimoes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Princesa do Solimoes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Princesa do Solimoes here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 20%
Princesa do Solimoes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Princesa do Solimoes
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2024 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Princesa do Solimoes
1:4
Feb 4, 2023 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:0
Mar 15, 2019 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Princesa do Solimoes
1:2
Feb 3, 2019 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
3:0
Mar 31, 2018 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Princesa do Solimoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Warlei
1 Goals
Assists Leader Victor Ramon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
Princesa do Solimoes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Princesa do Solimoes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Princesa do Solimoes let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Princesa do Solimoes registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Princesa do Solimoes
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manaus FC431010:210
2Amazonas42116:47
3Nacional-AM (Manaus)40403:34
4Unidos do Alvorada41124:54
5Operario Esporte Clube40134:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manauara422010:18
2Princesa do Solimoes42207:38
3Parintins421110:27
4Sao Raimundo AM41126:74
5Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)40043:230