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Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs RB do Norte

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2022 game between Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) and RB do Norte finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
6%
Draws
90%
RB do Norte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: RB do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) come out ahead of RB do Norte on wins alone.
  • RB do Norte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 10%
RB do Norte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) RB do Norte
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2022 Amazonense 2
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs RB do Norte
6:0
Sep 15, 2022 Amazonense 2
RB do Norte vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:4
Sep 11, 2022 Amazonense 2
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs RB do Norte
10:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
RB do Norte 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) RB do Norte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB do Norte let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

RB do Norte lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) VS RB do Norte
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
RB do Norte1
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)10
Parintins3
Unidos do Alvorada2
Final
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)3
Parintins1