Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Unidos do Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Marreta G.
51' Event
Juninho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Amazonense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
6%
Draws
90%
Unidos do Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Unidos do Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Unidos do Alvorada at 1.13 per game, Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) at 0.63.
  • Model gives Unidos do Alvorada a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Amazonense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 10%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Unidos do Alvorada
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2024 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Unidos do Alvorada
1:1
Aug 27, 2022 Amazonense 2
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Unidos do Alvorada
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Compare

Top Goalscorer Marreta G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Unidos do Alvorada Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
Unidos do Alvorada 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Unidos do Alvorada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Unidos do Alvorada has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Unidos do Alvorada has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) VS Unidos do Alvorada
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amazonas52218:48
2Manaus FC52216:48
3Nacional-AM (Manaus)51405:47
4Operario Esporte Clube51135:74
5Unidos do Alvorada50141:111
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Parintins53207:211
2Manauara531110:410
3Sao Raimundo AM52215:68
4Princesa do Solimoes51316:66
5Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)50232:72