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Atletico Saguntino vs Roda

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sangare A.
48' Event
Sanchez E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atletico Saguntino
15%
Draws
46%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Roda haven't matched Atletico Saguntino's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 25%
Roda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Saguntino Roda
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Roda vs Atletico Saguntino
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Roda
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Atletico Saguntino
2:4
Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Roda
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Atletico Saguntino
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Saguntino Compare

Top Goalscorer Sangare A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Saguntino 37 / 100
Roda 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Saguntino Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Saguntino found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Roda conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Atletico Saguntino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Saguntino VS Roda
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Saguntino

(Home)
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4
Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 1
Villarreal C
13 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
09 Sept
Torrent
1 : 2
Atletico Saguntino
06 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
2 : 1
Levante B
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Roda

(Away)
19 Sept
Roda
1 : 1
Crevillente
13 Sept
Villarreal C
2 : 1
Roda
06 Sept
Roda
2 : 1
Ontinyent 1931 CF
22 Aug
Roda
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
09 May
Crevillente
2 : 0
Roda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)