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Atletico San Jose Promesas vs Deportivo Pacense

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015 game between Atletico San Jose Promesas and Deportivo Pacense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico San Jose Promesas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Atletico San Jose Promesas
28%
Draws
22%
Deportivo Pacense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Atletico San Jose Promesas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Atletico San Jose Promesas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Atletico San Jose Promesas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico San Jose Promesas have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Atletico San Jose Promesas Clean Sheet 17%
Deportivo Pacense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico San Jose Promesas Deportivo Pacense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Deportivo Pacense vs Atletico San Jose Promesas
3:0
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Atletico San Jose Promesas vs Deportivo Pacense
2:0
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Atletico San Jose Promesas vs Deportivo Pacense
2:0
Dec 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Deportivo Pacense vs Atletico San Jose Promesas
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Jose Promesas 48 / 100
Deportivo Pacense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico San Jose Promesas Deportivo Pacense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Pacense has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Atletico San Jose Promesas's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Deportivo Pacense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico San Jose Promesas VS Deportivo Pacense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AD Merida383152101:2098
2Extremadura UD38269386:2487
3Jerez CF38256770:1881
4CD Badajoz38238771:3177
5CD Coria382061255:4066
6Moralo381981165:4465
7Don Benito3818101048:3764
8CD Azuaga3815101344:4455
9Pueblonuevo3813131250:4252
10Santa Amalia381561744:5051
11Diter Zafra3812141251:4850
12Fuente de Cantos381262039:6142
13Atletico San Jose Promesas381332248:7542
14Olivenza FC381172046:6940
15CP Valdivia381072143:7337
16Sanvicenteno38972234:6134
17Deportivo Pacense38962346:9333
18Castuera38892139:6833
19UP Plasencia38692349:8327
20Hernan Cortes38692335:8327