Sport Picks
Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis Potosí 
Match Events
14'
14'
Llorente R.
33'
33'
Rodriguez C.
46'
46'
Salles-Lamonge S.
AI Match Summary
Cruz Azul in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruz Azul.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico San Luis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cruz Azul lately — more wins on the board than Atletico San Luis.
- Atletico San Luis are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cruz Azul here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 14%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico San Luis | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis
3:0
Aug 12, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis
3:0
Sep 18, 2024 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico San Luis Compare
Top Goalscorer Salles-Lamonge S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Llorente R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Cruz Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Marquez J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico San Luis 39 / 100
Cruz Azul 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico San Luis Cruz Azul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico San Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cruz Azul conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Atletico San Luis scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Atletico San Luis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico San Luis VS Cruz Azul
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico San Luis
(Home) 27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3 Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1 Necaxa
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0 Atletico San Luis
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3 Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1 Necaxa
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1 Pachuca
01 Aug
Atletico San Luis
0 : 0 Club Tijuana
18 Jul
Atletico San Luis
2 : 3 Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 3
Cruz Azul
(Away) 02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0 Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3 Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0 Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0 Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3 Club America
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0 Cruz Azul
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0 Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0 Cruz Azul
29 Aug
Necaxa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul
17 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 1 Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 20 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
| 18 | Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
