Sport Picks
Atletico San Luis W vs Toluca W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis Potosí 
Match Events
5'
5'
Lopez V.
6'
6'
Higuera E.
(Penalty)
16'
16'
Sub
Houston E. In: Lopez A.
Out: Houston E.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX Women game between Atletico San Luis W and Toluca W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toluca W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico San Luis W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Toluca W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Atletico San Luis W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Atletico San Luis W Clean Sheet 10%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico San Luis W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 2.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Toluca W
1:4
Feb 5, 2026 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Atletico San Luis W
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Toluca W
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Toluca W
1:0
Nov 1, 2024 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Atletico San Luis W
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico San Luis W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Toluca W Compare
Top Goalscorer Jakobsson S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico San Luis W 65 / 100
Toluca W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico San Luis W Toluca W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico San Luis W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Atletico San Luis W scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Toluca W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.
Solid form: Atletico San Luis W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico San Luis W VS Toluca W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico San Luis W
(Home) 03 Oct
Queretaro W
0 : 1 Atletico San Luis W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1 Atletico San Luis W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1 Pachuca W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3 Santos Laguna W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2 Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1 Pachuca W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3 Santos Laguna W
30 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
6 : 1 Atlas W
09 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1 Club Tijuana W
03 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
1 : 4 Toluca W
Page 1 of 4
Toluca W
(Away) 05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2 Toluca W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4 Toluca W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7 Tigres UANL W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0 Club Tijuana W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1 Toluca W
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2 Toluca W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4 Toluca W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1 Toluca W
24 Aug
Atlante W
1 : 2 Toluca W
03 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
1 : 4 Toluca W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Toluca W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Juarez W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:22 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 45:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:39 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
