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Atletico Sucre vs Libertad FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 8-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Atletico Sucre
15%
Draws
12%
Libertad FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Sucre carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Sucre taking it.
  • Atletico Sucre have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Sucre, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atletico Sucre Clean Sheet 20%
Libertad FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Sucre Libertad FC
Matches Played 27 16
Wins 9 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.07 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.15 3.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Libertad FC vs Atletico Sucre
0:2
Aug 23, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Sucre vs Libertad FC
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Sucre 85 / 100
Libertad FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Sucre Libertad FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Sucre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Sucre scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Libertad FC conceded in 88% of 16 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Libertad FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Sucre VS Libertad FC
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Sucre

(Home)
11 Oct
Atletico Sucre
1 : 5
Em Huanuni
26 Sept
Libertad FC
0 : 2
Atletico Sucre
19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1
Atletico Sucre
10 Sept
Atletico Sucre
0 : 1
Em Huanuni
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1
Fatic
Page 1 of 6

Libertad FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Libertad FC
0 : 2
Atletico Sucre
19 Sept
Em Huanuni
5 : 0
Libertad FC
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0
Libertad FC
05 Sept
Libertad FC
0 : 0
Em Huanuni
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1
Fatic
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)