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Atletico Tordesillas vs Becerril

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Martin D.
29' Event
Torres J.
52' Event
Velazquez M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Atletico Tordesillas and Becerril finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Tordesillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Atletico Tordesillas
30%
Draws
41%
Becerril
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Becerril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Becerril haven't matched Atletico Tordesillas's recent run of results.
  • Atletico Tordesillas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Atletico Tordesillas Clean Sheet 68%
Becerril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Tordesillas Becerril
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 20 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Becerril
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Atletico Tordesillas
2:3
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Becerril
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Atletico Tordesillas
0:0
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Atletico Tordesillas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Tordesillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velazquez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.74

Becerril Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Tordesillas 59 / 100
Becerril 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Tordesillas Becerril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Tordesillas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Tordesillas scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Becerril let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Atletico Tordesillas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Tordesillas VS Becerril
1.38 Goals Scored 1.2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Tordesillas

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2
Navalcarnero
12 Sept
Albacete B
4 : 3
Atletico Tordesillas
06 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 3
San Sebastian Reyes
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
18 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
4 : 1
Villa De Simancas
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Becerril

(Away)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2
Mansilles
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)