Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Guijuelo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Tordesillas play Guijuelo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Tordesillas averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Guijuelo averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Tordesillas won 0, Guijuelo won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Atletico Tordesillas and 1.83 for Guijuelo. This points to a Atletico Tordesillas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Atletico Tordesillas

23%

Draws

36%

Guijuelo

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Atletico Tordesillas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Atletico Tordesillas picked up more points recently compared to Guijuelo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.83 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Atletico Tordesillas Clean Sheet 11%

Guijuelo Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Tordesillas	Guijuelo
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	22	20
Draws	4	6
Losses	4	8
Goals Scored	1.93	1.56
Goals Conceded	0.8	0.85
Expected Goals (xG)	1.71	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.29	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Guijuelo vs Atletico Tordesillas

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 4 - 3

4:0

Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Atletico Tordesillas vs Guijuelo

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Atletico Tordesillas vs Guijuelo

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Oct 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Guijuelo vs Atletico Tordesillas

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Jul 24, 2019 Club Friendly

Guijuelo vs Atletico Tordesillas

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Tordesillas 39 / 100

Guijuelo 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Tordesillas Guijuelo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Tordesillas or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Tordesillas attacking → ← attacking Guijuelo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Tordesillas scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Guijuelo let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Atletico Tordesillas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guijuelo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 66

1.71 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.29 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Tordesillas	34	24	6	4	62:24	78
2	Guijuelo	34	21	7	6	54:26	70
3	Palencia CA	34	21	5	8	48:24	68
4	Palencia CF	34	20	4	10	59:39	64
5	Santa Marta Tormes	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
6	Mansilles	34	15	12	7	31:27	57
7	Almazan	34	12	12	10	49:38	48
8	Mirandes B	34	13	8	13	43:35	47
9	La Virgen	34	12	8	14	31:37	44
10	Villaralbo	34	11	9	14	29:37	42
11	Leonesa B	34	12	6	16	38:43	42
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	32:46	37
13	Colegios Diocesanos	34	10	6	18	33:54	36
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	38:52	34
15	Unionistas de Salamanca B	34	6	13	15	32:43	31
16	CD Mojados	34	7	10	17	28:55	31
17	Becerril	34	7	8	19	41:60	29
18	Numancia B	34	6	6	22	26:56	24