Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Atletico Tordesillas

3 - 0

Numancia B

Our Tip

Match Events

Velazquez M.

22'

Chatun

47'

de la Fuente S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Atletico Tordesillas and Numancia B finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Tordesillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Atletico Tordesillas

Draws

Numancia B

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Tordesillas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Atletico Tordesillas carry the better recent record into this one.
Atletico Tordesillas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Atletico Tordesillas Clean Sheet 68%

Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Tordesillas	Numancia B
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	23	6
Draws	4	4
Losses	4	20
Goals Scored	2.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.63	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Atletico Tordesillas vs Numancia B

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Numancia B vs Atletico Tordesillas

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Feb 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Atletico Tordesillas vs Numancia B

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Oct 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Numancia B vs Atletico Tordesillas

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Jan 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Numancia B vs Atletico Tordesillas

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Tordesillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Velazquez M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Chatun

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Numancia B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Tordesillas 95 / 100

Numancia B 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Tordesillas Numancia B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Tordesillas found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Numancia B let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Atletico Tordesillas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Tordesillas VS Numancia B

2.25 Goals Scored 1.25

0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25

75% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Tordesillas	34	24	6	4	62:24	78
2	Guijuelo	34	21	7	6	54:26	70
3	Palencia CA	34	21	5	8	48:24	68
4	Palencia CF	34	20	4	10	59:39	64
5	Santa Marta Tormes	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
6	Mansilles	34	15	12	7	31:27	57
7	Almazan	34	12	12	10	49:38	48
8	Mirandes B	34	13	8	13	43:35	47
9	La Virgen	34	12	8	14	31:37	44
10	Villaralbo	34	11	9	14	29:37	42
11	Leonesa B	34	12	6	16	38:43	42
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	32:46	37
13	Colegios Diocesanos	34	10	6	18	33:54	36
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	38:52	34
15	Unionistas de Salamanca B	34	6	13	15	32:43	31
16	CD Mojados	34	7	10	17	28:55	31
17	Becerril	34	7	8	19	41:60	29
18	Numancia B	34	6	6	22	26:56	24