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Atletico Union Guimar vs Hortaleza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Hortaleza go into this one as the clear favorite. Hortaleza have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Atletico Union Guimar have conceded 2.03 and scored 0.86. Head-to-head, Atletico Union Guimar have won 0 to Hortaleza's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.13, favoring Hortaleza. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico Union Guimar
25%
Draws
35%
Hortaleza
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Atletico Union Guimar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Union Guimar have won more games recently than Hortaleza.
  • Hortaleza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Atletico Union Guimar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atletico Union Guimar Clean Sheet 20%
Hortaleza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Union Guimar Hortaleza
Matches Played 29 1
Wins 2 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 19 0
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 2.03 0
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa del Rey
Hortaleza vs Atletico Union Guimar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Union Guimar 10 / 100
Hortaleza 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Union Guimar Hortaleza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hortaleza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Union Guimar found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Hortaleza conceded in 0% of 1 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Union Guimar VS Hortaleza
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Union Guimar

(Home)
27 Sept
Hortaleza
1 : 0
Atletico Union Guimar
27 Jun
Atletico Union Guimar
1 : 2
Villa Santa Brigida
19 Jun
Arucas
4 : 0
Atletico Union Guimar
06 Jun
CD La Cuadra
2 : 1
Atletico Union Guimar
30 May
Atletico Union Guimar
2 : 4
UD Guia
Page 1 of 6

Hortaleza

(Away)
27 Sept
Hortaleza
1 : 0
Atletico Union Guimar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ribadesella CF 2
SD Noja 1
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Racing Santander -
Auriense 2
CD San Jose 1
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Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
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Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
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Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
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Gijon -
CD Laredo -
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Burgos CF -
Numancia -
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Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
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Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
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Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
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Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
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Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
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Zamora -
Real Avila -
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Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
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UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud 4
CD Baztan 1
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Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT 10
CD Tedeon 2
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Alaves -
El Espinar Sant Rafel 1
Prat 5
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Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
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Espanyol -
Varea -
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FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
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Girona -
Pamplona -
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Eibar -
Utebo FC -
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Sabadell -
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Huesca -
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Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
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Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
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CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
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Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
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UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
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Real Union -
Maracena 1
Tavernes 2
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Valencia -
Pinatar 11
Atletico Melilla 0
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Elche -
Talayuela 1
Sporting de Alcazar CF 3
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Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
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Levante -
Manacor -
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Villarreal -
Castellonense -
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Almeria -
Alcoyano -
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Mallorca -
Conquense -
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Castellon -
UD Poblense -
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AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
TBD -
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Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
TBD -
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Granada CF -
Baleares -
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Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
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FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
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Jaen -
Antequera -
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Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana 7
Ceuta 6 de Junio 1
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Getafe -
Hortaleza 1
Atletico Union Guimar 0
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Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
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Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
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Betis -
Trival Valderas -
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Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
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Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
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Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
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Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
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Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
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CD Coria -
Don Benito -
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CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
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Rayo Majadahonda -
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1/64-finals
Ribadesella CF -
Racing Santander -
Auriense -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud -
Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT -
Alaves -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
Espanyol -
Varea -
FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
Girona -
Pamplona -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
Sabadell -
Pena -
Huesca -
Tudelano -
Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
Real Union -
Tavernes -
Valencia -
Pinatar -
Elche -
Sporting de Alcazar CF -
Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
Levante -
Manacor -
Villarreal -
Castellonense -
Almeria -
Alcoyano -
Mallorca -
Conquense -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
Granada CF -
Baleares -
Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
Jaen -
Antequera -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana -
Getafe -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
CD Coria -
Don Benito -
CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
Rayo Majadahonda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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1/32-finals
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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