Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021

Atletico Union Guimar

0 - 1

Mensajero

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 game between Atletico Union Guimar and Mensajero finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mensajero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Atletico Union Guimar

Draws

90%

Mensajero

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mensajero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mensajero come out ahead of Atletico Union Guimar on wins alone.
Model gives Mensajero a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Mensajero here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Atletico Union Guimar Clean Sheet 17%

Mensajero Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Union Guimar	Mensajero
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	2	18
Draws	8	8
Losses	19	6
Goals Scored	0	1.75
Goals Conceded	0	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Mensajero vs Atletico Union Guimar

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Mar 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Atletico Union Guimar vs Mensajero

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Mensajero vs Atletico Union Guimar

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Atletico Union Guimar vs Mensajero

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

4:3

Feb 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Atletico Union Guimar vs Mensajero

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Union Guimar 10 / 100

Mensajero 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Union Guimar Mensajero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Union Guimar found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Mensajero has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Mensajero registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mensajero

0 Goals Scored 1.75

0 Goals Conceded 0.63

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD San Fernando	18	10	3	5	27:17	33
2	Panaderia	18	9	5	4	22:14	32
3	Las Palmas C	18	9	3	6	26:22	30
4	Gran Tarajal	18	7	8	3	18:12	29
5	Union Viera	18	8	2	8	26:30	26
6	Lanzarote	18	7	3	8	18:17	24
7	CD La Cuadra	18	7	3	8	25:30	24
8	UD Guia	18	5	4	9	18:28	19
9	Villa Santa Brigida	18	5	3	10	18:21	18
10	Arucas	18	4	4	10	20:27	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mensajero	20	12	4	4	28:17	40
2	SD Tenisca	20	10	5	5	37:20	35
3	Atletico Paso	20	8	9	3	28:15	33
4	CD Buzanada	20	9	5	6	29:21	32
5	Tenerife B	20	9	4	7	33:26	31
6	CD Santa Ursula	20	7	8	5	22:19	29
7	Vera CD	20	8	5	7	24:24	29
8	Tacoronte	20	7	4	9	21:28	25
9	Atletico Victoria	20	5	6	9	16:30	20
10	Atletico Union Guimar	20	2	8	10	19:34	14
11	Ibarra	20	2	4	14	10:33	10