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Atletico Vinotinto vs Chacaritas

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Vidal P.
15' Event
Bolano J.
20' Event
Vargas P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025 game between Atletico Vinotinto and Chacaritas finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Vinotinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico Vinotinto
6%
Draws
4%
Chacaritas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Vinotinto come out ahead of Chacaritas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Vinotinto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletico Vinotinto here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Atletico Vinotinto Clean Sheet 20%
Chacaritas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Vinotinto Chacaritas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2025 Serie B
Atletico Vinotinto vs Chacaritas
4:0
Sep 18, 2025 Serie B
Chacaritas vs Atletico Vinotinto
2:2
Jul 10, 2025 Serie B
Chacaritas vs Atletico Vinotinto
1:2
May 1, 2025 Serie B
Atletico Vinotinto vs Chacaritas
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidal P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bolano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chacaritas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Vinotinto 85 / 100
Chacaritas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Vinotinto Chacaritas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chacaritas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Atletico Vinotinto has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico Vinotinto scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Vinotinto VS Chacaritas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%