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Atletico Vinotinto vs Guayaquil City

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Vidal P.
31' Event
Vargas P.
50' Event
Vargas P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025 game between Atletico Vinotinto and Guayaquil City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Vinotinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico Vinotinto
6%
Draws
4%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guayaquil City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atletico Vinotinto a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Atletico Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Vinotinto Guayaquil City
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2025 Serie B
Atletico Vinotinto vs Guayaquil City
3:2
Apr 17, 2025 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Atletico Vinotinto
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vidal P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angulo Avila E. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Vinotinto 95 / 100
Guayaquil City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Vinotinto Guayaquil City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Atletico Vinotinto went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Vinotinto scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Guayaquil City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guayaquil City
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leones del Norte22117426:1440
2Guayaquil City22107531:1637
3Gualaceo2298528:2735
4Nueve de Octubre2296720:1533
5Independiente Juniors2296722:2133
6San Antonio2295820:1932
7Atletico Vinotinto2294937:2631
822 de Julio2277820:3128
9Vargas Torres22511626:2226
10Cumbaya22751019:2826
11Imbabura22461223:3018
12Chacaritas22381121:4417