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Atromitos vs AEL Larissa Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Peristeri Stadium, Athens
Atromitos Logo

Atromitos

3 - 2
FT
AEL Larissa Logo

AEL Larissa

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Baku M.
Assist: Jubitana D.
23' Event
Mansur
Assist: Michorl P.
32'
Sub
Rosic L. In: Naor G.
Out: Rosic L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atromitos in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atromitos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Atromitos
35%
Draws
45%
AEL Larissa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AEL Larissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atromitos lately — more wins on the board than AEL Larissa.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on AEL Larissa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 16%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos AEL Larissa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Atromitos
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs AEL Larissa
3:2
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Atromitos
0:0
Dec 3, 2025 Greek Cup
AEL Larissa vs Atromitos
0:1
Sep 29, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs AEL Larissa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atromitos Compare

Top Goalscorer Baku M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mansur
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Apostolakis K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tupta L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos 15 / 100
AEL Larissa 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos AEL Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atromitos found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

AEL Larissa let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Atromitos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos VS AEL Larissa
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos

(Home)
19 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 2
Kifisia
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0 : 1
Atromitos
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AEL Larissa

(Away)
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
PAOK B
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
Zakynthos
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Karditsa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Atromitos 36 12 10 14 49:42 46
10 Kifisia 36 9 14 13 40:51 41
11 Asteras Tripolis 36 8 12 16 36:49 36
12 Panetolikos 36 9 9 18 35:51 36
13 AEL Larissa 36 5 15 16 34:56 30
14 Panserraikos 36 7 8 21 25:73 29
Relegation - Super League 2 (Main)