Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Peristeri Stadium, Athens
Atromitos Logo

Atromitos

2 - 1
FT
Asteras Tripolis Logo

Asteras Tripolis

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Macheda F.
Assist: Ketu K.
45' Event
Stavropoulos D.
Assist: Mountes M.
46'
Sub
Mitoglou G. In: Tsakmakis D.
Out: Mitoglou G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Atromitos and Asteras Tripolis finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atromitos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atromitos
35%
Draws
32%
Asteras Tripolis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Atromitos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atromitos a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 20%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos Asteras Tripolis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
4:2
Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atromitos Compare

Top Goalscorer Stavropoulos D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsakmakis D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Macheda F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos 36 / 100
Asteras Tripolis 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos Asteras Tripolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atromitos scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Asteras Tripolis has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Atromitos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos VS Asteras Tripolis
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos

(Home)
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0 : 1
Atromitos
30 Aug
Atromitos
1 : 2
PAOK
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Tripolis

(Away)
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
30 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Atromitos 36 12 10 14 49:42 46
10 Kifisia 36 9 14 13 40:51 41
11 Asteras Tripolis 36 8 12 16 36:49 36
12 Panetolikos 36 9 9 18 35:51 36
13 AEL Larissa 36 5 15 16 34:56 30
14 Panserraikos 36 7 8 21 25:73 29
Relegation - Super League 2 (Main)