Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ATSV Erlangen vs Ingolstadt II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ATSV Erlangen in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ATSV Erlangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
ATSV Erlangen
44%
Draws
20%
Ingolstadt II
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • ATSV Erlangen haven't matched Ingolstadt II's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 10%
Ingolstadt II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATSV Erlangen Ingolstadt II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Ingolstadt II
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Ingolstadt II vs ATSV Erlangen
1:2
Apr 25, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Ingolstadt II vs ATSV Erlangen
1:0
Oct 2, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Ingolstadt II
1:3
Nov 10, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Ingolstadt II
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATSV Erlangen 34 / 100
Ingolstadt II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATSV Erlangen Ingolstadt II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ING Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ATSV Erlangen scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ingolstadt II let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

ATSV Erlangen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ATSV Erlangen VS Ingolstadt II
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eltersdorf32212955:3065
2Cham32178758:3559
3ASV Neumarkt32185968:5059
4Gebenbach321651153:4753
5Bamberg321312754:3951
6Weiden321311857:3950
7Ingolstadt II321461264:5448
8Fortuna Regensburg321291166:5845
9Regensburg II321351459:5344
10Bayern Hof3211101156:5143
11Neudrossenfeld321251547:5441
12TSV Kornburg329131048:5040
13Wurzburger FV321071546:6237
14ATSV Erlangen321071543:6137
15Stadeln321121942:6535
16Coburg32932044:8130
17Grossschwarzenlohe32482035:6620