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ATSV Erlangen vs Vach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
ATSV Erlangen Logo

ATSV Erlangen

4 - 1
FT
Vach Logo

Vach

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ATSV Erlangen in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ATSV Erlangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
ATSV Erlangen
20%
Draws
64%
Vach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Vach have won more games recently than ATSV Erlangen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 12%
Vach Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATSV Erlangen Vach
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.28 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.91 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Vach
4:1
Oct 21, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Vach vs ATSV Erlangen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATSV Erlangen 30 / 100
Vach 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATSV Erlangen Vach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vach let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

ATSV Erlangen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Vach lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ATSV Erlangen VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ATSV Erlangen

(Home)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
Page 1 of 7

Vach

(Away)
18 May
ATSV Erlangen
4 : 1
Vach
11 May
Vach
1 : 2
Bayern Hof
04 May
Wurzburger FV
3 : 3
Vach
28 Apr
Vach
0 : 3
Gebenbach
22 Apr
Ansbach
1 : 3
Vach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TSV Aubstadt 34 24 4 6 83:27 76
2 Gebenbach 34 22 7 5 83:42 73
3 Wurzburger FV 34 20 6 8 67:39 66
4 Grossbardorf 34 20 5 9 67:39 65
5 SV Seligenporten 34 18 8 8 69:50 62
6 Eltersdorf 34 15 8 11 56:45 53
7 Bayern Hof 34 14 7 13 54:45 49
8 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 14 6 14 44:39 48
9 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 14 6 14 60:69 48
10 Abtswind 34 13 6 15 59:67 45
11 Ansbach 34 11 10 13 68:77 43
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 6 17 51:52 39
13 ATSV Erlangen 34 11 6 17 43:60 39
14 1. FC Sand 34 10 5 19 42:66 35
15 Vach 34 10 3 21 45:76 33
16 Erlangen 34 9 4 21 53:74 31
17 Jahn Forchheim 34 8 6 20 58:86 30
18 ASV Neumarkt 34 7 7 20 35:84 28
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2019/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)