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Attard vs Kercem Ajax Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vinicius P.
7' Event
Vinicius P.
13' Event
da Cruz B.

AI Match Summary

Kercem Ajax in this FA Trophy 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-8. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Attard
20%
Draws
30%
Kercem Ajax
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Attard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Attard haven't matched Kercem Ajax's recent run of results.
  • Attard are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Kercem Ajax arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kercem Ajax, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kercem Ajax have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Attard Clean Sheet 20%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Attard Kercem Ajax
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 9 0
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 1.08 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.22 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 FA Trophy
Attard vs Kercem Ajax
2:8
Oct 22, 2017 FA Trophy
Attard vs Kercem Ajax
0:2
Sep 8, 2014 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs Attard
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Attard Compare

Top Goalscorer Alla B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuschieri L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Kercem Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader da Cruz B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Attard 49 / 100
Kercem Ajax 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Attard Kercem Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Attard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kercem Ajax has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Attard scored in 70% of their last 37 outings.

Recent resilience: Attard stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Attard VS Kercem Ajax
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Attard

(Home)
20 Sept
Tarxien
3 : 1
Attard
12 Sept
Attard
3 : 3
Swieqi
12 Jan
Fgura
3 : 1
Attard
26 Apr
Msida
1 : 1
Attard
20 Apr
Attard
1 : 0
Tarxien
Page 1 of 8

Kercem Ajax

(Away)
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0
Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0
Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2
Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0
Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Kalkara 0
Tarxien 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Vittoriosa 1
Valletta -
TBD -
St. Andrews 0
Zabbar 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 5
Qrendi 0
Marsa 2
Melita 3
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Swieqi 3
Fgura 0
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pieta -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Lija 0
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Attard 3
Birzebbuga 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Marsaskala FC 2
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 1
Qala Saints 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 5
Oratory 1
Sirens -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 4
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 4
Nadur 0
Valletta 5
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Melita 0
Mosta FC 3
Swieqi 1
Zebbug 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 0
San Gwann 3
Mgarr 1
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 1
Attard 2
Kercem Ajax 8
Floriana 0
Santa Lucia 1
Zejtun 0
Marsaxlokk 5
Gzira 2
Sliema 0
Mtarfa 1
Qala Saints 2
Gudja 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 0
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 2
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Swieqi 1
Pieta 0
San Gwann 2
Hibernians 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Santa Lucia 0
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 3
Qala Saints 0
Gudja 1
Sirens 0
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 0
Mosta FC 5
San Gwann 0
Hibernians 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Gzira 2
Gudja 1
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 4
Mosta FC 3
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 1
Final
Birkirkara 2
Marsaxlokk 0