Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atus Ferlach vs Nussdorf

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atus Ferlach in this Karnten 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atus Ferlach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atus Ferlach
39%
Draws
30%
Nussdorf
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atus Ferlach lately — more wins on the board than Nussdorf.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Karnten 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nussdorf have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atus Ferlach Clean Sheet 14%
Nussdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atus Ferlach Nussdorf
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Nussdorf
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 Karnten
Nussdorf vs Atus Ferlach
3:1
Apr 26, 2009 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Nussdorf
0:2
Sep 7, 2008 Karnten
Nussdorf vs Atus Ferlach
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atus Ferlach 31 / 100
Nussdorf 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atus Ferlach Nussdorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nussdorf conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Atus Ferlach scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Nussdorf lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atus Ferlach VS Nussdorf
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%