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Atus Ferlach vs TSV Grafenstein

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2025/2026 game between Atus Ferlach and TSV Grafenstein finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atus Ferlach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atus Ferlach
6%
Draws
90%
TSV Grafenstein
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • TSV Grafenstein carry the better recent record into this one.
  • TSV Grafenstein are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Karnten 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Atus Ferlach Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atus Ferlach TSV Grafenstein
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs Atus Ferlach
5:0
Oct 18, 2025 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs TSV Grafenstein
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atus Ferlach 10 / 100
TSV Grafenstein 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atus Ferlach TSV Grafenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TSV Grafenstein conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Atus Ferlach scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Atus Ferlach remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atus Ferlach VS TSV Grafenstein
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Atus Ferlach

(Home)
02 Jun
A. Klagenfurt (Am)
4 : 1
Atus Ferlach
29 May
Atus Ferlach
4 : 3
SC St. Veit
23 May
TSV Grafenstein
5 : 0
Atus Ferlach
16 May
Atus Ferlach
4 : 2
Nussdorf
13 May
Bleiburg
1 : 0
Atus Ferlach
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TSV Grafenstein

(Away)
10 Jul
Treibach
1 : 6
TSV Grafenstein
03 Jun
TSV Grafenstein
3 : 2
Dellach/Gail
29 May
Volkermarkt
5 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
23 May
TSV Grafenstein
5 : 0
Atus Ferlach
16 May
Matrei
1 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
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