Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2025 Kopparvallen

Smedby

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atvidaberg play Smedby in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atvidaberg averaged 2.66 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Smedby averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Atvidaberg won 3, Smedby won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 2, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Atvidaberg and 1.50 for Smedby. This points to a Atvidaberg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Atvidaberg

24%

Draws

28%

Smedby

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Atvidaberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Atvidaberg picked up more points recently compared to Smedby.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Atvidaberg Clean Sheet 16%

Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atvidaberg	Smedby
Matches Played	32	33
Wins	21	15
Draws	8	7
Losses	3	11
Goals Scored	2.66	2.15
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Atvidaberg vs Smedby

Possession: 53% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Jun 19, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Smedby vs Atvidaberg

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

0:3

Aug 16, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Smedby vs Atvidaberg

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 0 - 4

0:2

Apr 22, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Atvidaberg vs Smedby

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atvidaberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Radetinac H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Gren J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atvidaberg 46 / 100

Smedby 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atvidaberg Smedby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atvidaberg or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atvidaberg attacking → ← attacking Smedby

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atvidaberg scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Smedby let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Atvidaberg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Smedby lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 52

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atvidaberg	26	21	3	2	70:18	66
2	Ragsved	26	16	3	7	63:29	51
3	Sylvia	26	15	2	9	51:34	47
4	Sleipner	26	12	6	8	42:36	42
5	Farsta	26	13	2	11	53:38	41
6	Enskede	26	11	5	10	42:41	38
7	Smedby	26	8	9	9	48:48	33
8	Nykopings	26	9	6	11	39:40	33
9	Forward	26	9	5	12	47:49	32
10	Syrianska	26	8	7	11	34:50	31
11	Eker Orebro	26	9	4	13	44:65	31
12	Huddinge	26	9	3	14	48:64	30
13	Arameisk-Syrianska	26	6	5	15	32:63	23
14	Syrianska Eskilstuna IF	26	2	8	16	30:68	14