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Atyra vs Sportivo Carapegua

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Gimenez A.
83' Event
Riquelme W.
90' Event
Riquelme W.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2023 game between Atyra and Sportivo Carapegua finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atyra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atyra
20%
Draws
38%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atyra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Atyra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atyra here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Atyra Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atyra Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 11
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Atyra
3:2
Jul 12, 2023 Copa Paraguay
Atyra vs Sportivo Carapegua
2:1
Jun 24, 2023 Division Intermedia
Atyra vs Sportivo Carapegua
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atyra Compare

Top Goalscorer Riquelme W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atyra 42 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atyra Sportivo Carapegua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Carapegua has conceded goals in 81% of their last 43 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Atyra scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Atyra remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sportivo Carapegua
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sol de America30214546:2567
22 de Mayo30169546:2357
3Independiente FBC30149753:3551
4Recoleta30156959:4551
5Fernando de la Mora301461040:3148
6Rubio Nu301281042:4444
7Deportivo Santani301281041:4344
8Sportivo Carapegua301110943:3143
9Pastoreo301110937:3143
10San Lorenzo301191035:2742
113 de Febrero301161339:4239
12Colegiales30951629:4432
13Martin Ledesma30871530:4131
1424 de Setiembre30781538:5229
15Atyra30751832:5826
1612 de Octubre30282024:6214