Sport Picks
Atyrau vs Kaspij Aktau
Kazakhstan
Premier League Turkestan Arena 
AI Match Summary
Atyrau play Kaspij Aktau in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atyrau averaged 1 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Kaspij Aktau averaged 2.12 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Atyrau won 2, Kaspij Aktau won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Atyrau and 0.81 for Kaspij Aktau. This points to a Kaspij Aktau double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Atyrau picked up more points recently compared to Kaspij Aktau.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.81 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atyrau | Kaspij Aktau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 19 |
| Draws | 13 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atyrau scored in 63% of their last 27 games.
Kaspij Aktau let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Atyrau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Kaspij Aktau lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 27:9 | 37 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 29:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 21:16 | 27 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23:19 | 23 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Ulytau | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Aktobe | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Atyrau | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 11:11 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 10 | Zhenis | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | 18 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13:19 | 17 |
| 12 | Kyzylzhar | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 13 | Tobol | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:23 | 15 |
| 14 | Kaspij Aktau | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Ertis Pavlodar | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 14:21 | 10 |
| 16 | Altai | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10:18 | 10 |