Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aubagne FC vs Quevilly

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny, Aubagne
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Chibani N.
23' Event
Atangana J.
58'
Tlili K.

AI Match Summary

Quevilly in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quevilly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aubagne FC
35%
Draws
37%
Quevilly
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Quevilly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Quevilly have won more games recently than Aubagne FC.
  • Aubagne FC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 20%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aubagne FC Quevilly
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Quevilly
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Aubagne FC
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Aubagne FC
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Quevilly
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aubagne FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Quevilly Compare

Top Goalscorer Atangana J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aubagne FC 36 / 100
Quevilly 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aubagne FC Quevilly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubagne FC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Quevilly let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Aubagne FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aubagne FC VS Quevilly
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aubagne FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0
Aubagne FC
29 Aug
Aubagne FC
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
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Quevilly

(Away)
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Quevilly
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)