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Aucas U20 vs Sporting Cristal U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 2024 Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Aucas U20 Logo

Aucas U20

3 - 1
FT
Sporting Cristal U20 Logo

Sporting Cristal U20

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Conforme W.
42' Event
Perlaza R.
68' Event
Perlaza R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aucas U20 in this Copa Libertadores U20 2024 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Aucas U20
15%
Draws
12%
Sporting Cristal U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aucas U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Aucas U20 have won more games recently than Sporting Cristal U20.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Aucas U20 taking it.
  • Aucas U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aucas U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Aucas U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting Cristal U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aucas U20 Sporting Cristal U20
Matches Played 5 9
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 1
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.8 3.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2024 Copa Libertadores U20
Aucas U20 vs Sporting Cristal U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aucas U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perlaza R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Conforme W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Sporting Cristal U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas U20 84 / 100
Sporting Cristal U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aucas U20 Sporting Cristal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aucas U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aucas U20 scored in 100% of their last 5 outings.

Sporting Cristal U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sporting Cristal U20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aucas U20 VS Sporting Cristal U20
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.8 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aucas U20

(Home)
16 Mar
Aucas U20
1 : 2
Rosario Central U20
14 Mar
Boca Juniors U20
2 : 1
Aucas U20
10 Mar
Aucas U20
4 : 2
Defensor Sp. U20
07 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
2 : 1
Aucas U20
04 Mar
Aucas U20
3 : 1
Sporting Cristal U20

Sporting Cristal U20

(Away)
14 Mar
Palmeiras U20
1 : 1
Sporting Cristal U20
12 Mar
Sporting Cristal U20
0 : 2
U. Catolica U20
08 Mar
Sporting Cristal U20
1 : 4
Olimpia Asuncion U20
10 Mar
Sporting Cristal U20
1 : 4
Flamengo RJ U20
07 Mar
Defensor Sp. U20
2 : 0
Sporting Cristal U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors U20 3 2 1 0 6:0 7
2 Academia Puerto Cabello U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Colo Colo U20 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Always Ready U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosario Central U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Olimpia Asuncion U20 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
3 Montevideo City U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Aguilas Doradas U20 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ U20 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Aucas U20 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Defensor Sp. U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Sporting Cristal U20 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams