Sport Picks
Aucas vs Barcelona SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito 
Match Events
6'
6'
Carcelen Carabali M. A.
Assist: Mena A.
45'
45'
Carcelen Carabali M. A.
46'
46'
Sub
Martinez T. In: Diaz D.
Out: Martinez T.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Pro game between Aucas and Barcelona SC finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barcelona SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Aucas come out ahead of Barcelona SC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Barcelona SC's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Aucas Clean Sheet 24%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aucas | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Barcelona SC
0:4
Sep 7, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Barcelona SC
1:1
May 17, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Aucas
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Barcelona SC vs Aucas
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Aucas
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aucas Compare
Top Goalscorer Carcelen Carabali M. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Barcelona SC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aucas 13 / 100
Barcelona SC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aucas Barcelona SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barcelona SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aucas's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Barcelona SC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Aucas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aucas VS Barcelona SC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Aucas
(Home) 25 Oct
Aucas
0 : 4 Barcelona SC
17 Oct
Aucas
1 : 1 LDU Quito
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
2 : 1 Aucas
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2 Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0 Aucas
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Aucas
0 : 4 Barcelona SC
17 Oct
Aucas
1 : 1 LDU Quito
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2 Macara
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0 Libertad
Page 1 of 3
Barcelona SC
(Away) 25 Oct
Aucas
0 : 4 Barcelona SC
18 Oct
Barcelona SC
1 : 1 U. Catolica
11 Oct
LDU Quito
2 : 1 Barcelona SC
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1 Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Aucas
0 : 4 Barcelona SC
11 Oct
LDU Quito
2 : 1 Barcelona SC
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0 Barcelona SC
16 Aug
Mushuc Runa
0 : 0 Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
