Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aucas vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2013 game between Aucas and Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aucas
6%
Draws
4%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aucas come out ahead of Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios on wins alone.
  • Aucas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aucas have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aucas Clean Sheet 20%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aucas Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2013 Serie B
Aucas vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
5:1
Jul 14, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Aucas
5:2
May 5, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Aucas
1:2
Apr 27, 2013 Serie B
Aucas vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas 85 / 100
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aucas Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Aucas found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Aucas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aucas VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aucas

(Home)
23 Jul
Orense
2 : 1
Aucas
19 Jul
Tecnico U.
0 : 1
Aucas
16 Jul
Aucas
0 : 3
Independiente del Valle
12 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Aucas
08 Jul
Aucas
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
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Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

(Away)
24 Nov
Aucas
5 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
17 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 3
Deportivo Municipal
13 Nov
CSCD Grecia
1 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
09 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 1
Olmedo
02 Nov
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837
Promotion - Serie A 2014 (First stage)