Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2013

Aucas

5 - 0

Deportivo Municipal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aucas in this Serie B 2013 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Aucas

Draws

Deportivo Municipal

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Aucas lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Municipal.
Aucas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Aucas Clean Sheet 20%

Deportivo Municipal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aucas	Deportivo Municipal
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	4
Draws	7	8
Losses	8	18
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	0.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2014 Serie B

Deportivo Municipal vs Aucas

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Sep 6, 2014 Serie B

Aucas vs Deportivo Municipal

Possession: 59% - 60% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jul 12, 2014 Serie B

Aucas vs Deportivo Municipal

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Mar 1, 2014 Serie B

Deportivo Municipal vs Aucas

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Oct 6, 2013 Serie B

Aucas vs Deportivo Municipal

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas 85 / 100

Deportivo Municipal 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aucas Deportivo Municipal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportivo Municipal conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Deportivo Municipal lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aucas scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aucas VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olmedo	44	29	5	10	76:43	92
2	Mushuc Runa	44	24	9	11	52:44	81
3	Imbabura	44	21	11	12	63:47	74
4	Aucas	44	21	6	17	69:53	69
5	Guayaquil City	44	18	14	12	57:43	68
6	Tecnico U.	44	17	14	13	60:53	65
7	Deportivo Municipal	44	16	8	20	48:60	56
8	Espoli	44	13	10	21	44:55	49
9	Univ. Cotopaxi	44	13	9	22	48:57	48
10	Dep. Azogues	44	11	13	20	49:70	46
11	CSCD Grecia	44	11	12	21	44:64	45
12	Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios	44	8	13	23	47:68	37