Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aucas vs Emelec

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Guzman P.
6'
Napoli G.
13'
Arroyo L.

AI Match Summary

Aucas in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Aucas
20%
Draws
15%
Emelec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Aucas have won more games recently than Emelec.
  • Model gives Aucas a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Aucas Clean Sheet 68%
Emelec Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aucas Emelec
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.18 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Aucas
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Emelec
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Aucas
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Emelec
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Emelec
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinonez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miranda B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Emelec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas 95 / 100
Emelec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aucas Emelec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aucas found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Emelec let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Aucas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aucas VS Emelec
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aucas

(Home)
08 Aug
Aucas
3 : 0
Leones del Norte
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2
Aucas
26 Jul
Aucas
1 : 4
Macara
23 Jul
Orense
2 : 1
Aucas
19 Jul
Tecnico U.
0 : 1
Aucas
Page 1 of 6

Emelec

(Away)
10 Aug
Guayaquil City
0 : 0
Emelec
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2
Aucas
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Emelec
24 Jul
Emelec
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
20 Jul
Independiente del Valle
6 : 1
Emelec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 24 20 1 3 58:22 61
2 Macara 24 12 5 7 32:24 41
3 Aucas 24 12 5 7 29:25 41
4 U. Catolica 24 11 6 7 39:21 39
5 Barcelona SC 24 9 8 7 25:20 35
6 LDU Quito 24 10 5 9 23:20 35
7 Libertad 24 9 6 9 26:27 33
8 Leones del Norte 24 8 8 8 24:25 32
9 Mushuc Runa 24 8 7 9 32:34 31
10 Dep. Cuenca 23 9 4 10 21:28 31
11 Guayaquil City 24 7 8 9 20:25 29
12 Emelec 24 7 8 9 19:28 29
13 Orense 24 7 6 11 28:36 27
14 Tecnico U. 24 8 2 14 20:32 26
15 Delfin 24 6 6 12 15:24 24
16 Manta 23 3 5 15 9:29 14
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)