Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aucas vs Manta

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Porozo S.
Assist: Guzman P.
16' Event
Quintero D.
Assist: Ramirez B.
32'
Preciado E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Aucas and Manta finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aucas
15%
Draws
21%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Manta haven't matched Aucas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aucas a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Aucas Clean Sheet 68%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aucas Manta
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.21 0.46
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Manta
3:1
Sep 16, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Aucas
1:1
May 17, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Manta
1:1
Aug 22, 2021 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Manta
3:0
Mar 21, 2021 Liga Pro
Manta vs Aucas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Porozo S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Preciado E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Manta Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas 86 / 100
Manta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aucas Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aucas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Aucas scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aucas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aucas VS Manta
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aucas

(Home)
26 Aug
LDU Quito
1 : 0
Aucas
23 Aug
Delfin
0 : 1
Aucas
17 Aug
Aucas
0 : 1
LDU Quito
12 Aug
La Union
1 : 2
Aucas
08 Aug
Aucas
3 : 0
Leones del Norte
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Manta

(Away)
22 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 1
Manta
15 Aug
Manta
0 : 2
Leones del Norte
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2
Manta
01 Aug
Manta
1 : 2
Mushuc Runa
30 Jul
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Manta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 22 1 3 64:26 67
2 Aucas 26 13 5 8 30:26 44
3 U. Catolica 26 12 7 7 45:23 43
4 Macara 26 12 6 8 33:26 42
5 LDU Quito 26 12 5 9 26:20 41
6 Barcelona SC 26 10 9 7 28:20 39
7 Libertad 26 10 7 9 29:29 37
8 Mushuc Runa 27 9 9 9 33:34 36
9 Leones del Norte 26 9 8 9 28:28 35
10 Guayaquil City 26 8 9 9 25:29 33
11 Emelec 26 8 8 10 21:31 32
12 Dep. Cuenca 27 9 5 13 23:35 32
13 Orense 26 8 6 12 30:39 30
14 Tecnico U. 27 9 2 16 26:38 29
15 Delfin 27 6 6 15 17:29 24
16 Manta 26 4 5 17 12:37 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)