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Auckland City vs Eastern Suburbs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2022
Auckland City Logo

Auckland City

1 - 0
FT
Eastern Suburbs Logo

Eastern Suburbs

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Auckland City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Auckland City
15%
Draws
27%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland City come out ahead of Eastern Suburbs on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Auckland City taking it.
  • Auckland City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Auckland City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auckland City have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City
2:4
Oct 27, 2024 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City
0:3
Oct 22, 2023 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City
1:2
Sep 11, 2022 Chatham Cup
Auckland City vs Eastern Suburbs
1:0
Mar 14, 2021 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Eastern Suburbs
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 85 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Auckland City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Eastern Suburbs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS Eastern Suburbs
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1
Auckland City
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Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Dunedin City Royals 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Bay Olympic 1
Auckland City 2
Napier City 0
Wellington Olympic 4
Cashmere Technical 9
Green Island AFC 0
Melville 1
Waiheke United 2
Birkenhead 0
Eastern Suburbs 2
Miramar 5
Western Suburbs 1
Auckland United 0
Hamilton 1
Quarter-finals
Dunedin City Royals 0
Auckland City 6
Wellington Olympic 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Waiheke United 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Miramar 3
Hamilton 4
Semi-finals
Auckland City 3
Wellington Olympic 1
Eastern Suburbs 1
Hamilton 0
Final
Auckland City 1
Eastern Suburbs 0