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Auckland City vs Magenta

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019 Kiwitea Street
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Morgan D.
32' Event
Leaalafa M.
50'
Welepane S.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2019 game between Auckland City and Magenta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Auckland City
28%
Draws
22%
Magenta
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Auckland City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Auckland City's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Auckland City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%
Magenta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Magenta
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 20 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 3 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2024 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Magenta
1:0
Apr 28, 2019 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Auckland City
2:1
Feb 24, 2019 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Magenta
2:1
Feb 21, 2011 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Auckland City
0:1
Oct 23, 2010 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Magenta
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leaalafa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Magenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Sele R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 47 / 100
Magenta 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Magenta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Auckland City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Magenta has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS Magenta
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hienghene Sport32107:17
2Lae City31208:65
3Tefana30216:72
4Malampa Revivors30125:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Central Sport321012:47
2Henderson Eels320115:86
3Lautoka311112:84
4Morobe Wawens30030:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Team Wellington330018:09
2Ba31116:44
3Erakor Golden Star31113:44
4Kiwi30031:200
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City330023:19
2Magenta320114:36
3Solomon Warriors310210:103
4Tupapa30032:350