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Auckland City vs Marist

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Oceania Club Championship 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auckland City play Marist in the Oceania Club Championship 2006. Auckland City are favorites here. Recently, Auckland City averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Marist averaged 1.45 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In past meetings, Auckland City won 1, Marist won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2006 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Auckland City and 1.81 for Marist. This points to a Auckland City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Auckland City
19%
Draws
20%
Marist
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland City picked up more points recently compared to Marist.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 11%
Marist Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Marist
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 19 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.81 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2006 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Marist
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 57 / 100
Marist 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Marist

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Auckland City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Auckland City attacking → ← attacking Marist

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Marist let in goals in 91% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Marist lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 20
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Auckland City330011:19
2Pirae320117:26
3Marist31029:143
4Sobou30031:210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manawatu31208:55
2Nokia Eagles31116:34
3Tafea31114:74
4Magenta31021:43