Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Auckland City vs Tefana

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2017 Kiwitea Street, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Tade E.
46'
Sub
Graglia S. In: Tehau L.
Out: Graglia S.
58'
Bourebare H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Auckland City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Auckland City
30%
Draws
12%
Tefana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Auckland City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Auckland City a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Auckland City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Auckland City, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auckland City here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 68%
Tefana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Tefana
Matches Played 48 30
Wins 33 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.17 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2017 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Tefana
2:0
Apr 9, 2017 OFC Champions League
Tefana vs Auckland City
0:2
Apr 20, 2016 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Tefana
4:2
May 13, 2012 OFC Champions League
Tefana vs Auckland City
0:1
Apr 29, 2012 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Tefana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tade E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Tefana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 95 / 100
Tefana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Tefana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auckland City scored in 88% of their last 48 outings.

Tefana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1
Auckland City
Page 1 of 10

Tefana

(Away)
16 Mar
Tefana
1 : 2
Pirae
13 Mar
Pirae
1 : 1
Tefana
16 Feb
Tefana
3 : 3
Malampa Revivors
13 Feb
Hienghene Sport
1 : 0
Tefana
10 Feb
Lae City
3 : 3
Tefana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Auckland City 4
Tefana 0
Magenta 3
Team Wellington 9
Final
Auckland City 5
Team Wellington 0