Sport Picks

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Auckland City vs Venus

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League Churchill Park, Lautoka
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kaiha M.
15'
Sub
Shan M. In: Merahi P.
Out: Shan M.
24'
Barbe K.

AI Match Summary

Auckland City in this OFC Champions League matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Auckland City
15%
Draws
0%
Venus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Venus haven't matched Auckland City's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Auckland City taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auckland City here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 18%
Venus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Venus
Matches Played 37 24
Wins 27 10
Draws 4 0
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.08 2
Goals Conceded 1.3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Venus
4:3
Aug 17, 2022 OFC Champions League
Venus vs Auckland City
0:3
Mar 5, 2020 OFC Champions League
Venus vs Auckland City
0:1
Feb 25, 2018 OFC Champions League
Venus vs Auckland City
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Doudera M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gray C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.07

Venus Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaiha M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lacan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 85 / 100
Venus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Venus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (37 games).

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Venus lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS Venus
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1
Auckland City
10 Aug
Central Coast
1 : 2
Auckland City
Page 1 of 8

Venus

(Away)
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Central Coast
3 : 0
Venus
10 Aug
Venus
0 : 1
Tiga Sport
30 Oct
Venus
0 : 3
Belfort
17 Aug
Venus
0 : 3
Auckland City
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Central Coast 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tiga Sport 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
4 Venus 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABM Galaxy 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Rewa 3 2 0 1 7:7 6
3 Lae City 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 4:15 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)