Sport Picks
Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
New Zealand
National League 
Match Events
17'
17'
Hoy G.
39'
39'
Bouzoukis G.
58'
58'
Habib B.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Auckland City and Wellington Olympic finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auckland City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Wellington Olympic haven't matched Auckland City's recent run of results.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Auckland City taking it.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 17%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auckland City | Wellington Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 44 | 36 |
| Wins | 30 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 National League
Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City
2:3
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Chatham Cup
Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Auckland City Compare
Top Goalscorer Habib B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Manickum D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Wellington Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Hoy G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bouzoukis G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Auckland City 84 / 100
Wellington Olympic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Auckland City Wellington Olympic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Auckland City scored in 89% of their last 44 games.
Defensive concern: Wellington Olympic conceded in 92% of 36 recent games.
Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Auckland City VS Wellington Olympic
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Auckland City
(Home) 10 Oct
Auckland City
2 : 2 Wellington Olympic
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4 Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0 Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1 Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3 Venus
Page 1 of 9
10 Oct
Auckland City
2 : 2 Wellington Olympic
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0 Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1 Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3 Venus
04 Jul
Auckland City
3 : 0 Takapuna Afc
Page 1 of 5
Wellington Olympic
(Away) 10 Oct
Auckland City
2 : 2 Wellington Olympic
03 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 2 Ferrymead Bays
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3 Wellington Olympic
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1 Miramar
Page 1 of 8
10 Oct
Auckland City
2 : 2 Wellington Olympic
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3 Wellington Olympic
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3 Wellington Olympic
15 Nov
Auckland FC 2
2 : 1 Wellington Olympic
26 Oct
Birkenhead
2 : 4 Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miramar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cashmere Technical | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Auckland United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Auckland City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Wellington Olympic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Ferrymead Bays | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Napier City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 8 | Birkenhead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 9 | Auckland FC 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 1 |
| 10 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 11 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:12 | 1 |
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)
