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Auckland FC 2 vs Auckland United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Hill H.
75' Event
Cristales J.
87' Event
Coulibaly A.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Auckland FC 2 and Auckland United finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Auckland FC 2
15%
Draws
37%
Auckland United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Auckland FC 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Auckland United's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Auckland FC 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Auckland United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland FC 2 Auckland United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.87 2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 National League
Auckland FC 2 vs Auckland United
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 National League
Auckland FC 2 vs Auckland United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hill H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hale C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Auckland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristales J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coulibaly A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland FC 2 19 / 100
Auckland United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland FC 2 Auckland United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland FC 2 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Auckland United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Auckland FC 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auckland FC 2 VS Auckland United
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland FC 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Miramar
2 : 1
Auckland FC 2
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
24 May
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Auckland FC 2
20 May
Auckland FC 2
1 : 0
South Island United
12 May
Auckland FC 2
5 : 2
South Island United
Page 1 of 6

Auckland United

(Away)
04 Oct
Auckland United
7 : 1
Napier City
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
26 Jul
Nelson Suburbs FC
2 : 1
Auckland United
04 Jul
Auckland United
3 : 1
Cambridge
07 Dec
Auckland FC 2
3 : 0
Auckland United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Cashmere Technical 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
3 Auckland United 3 1 2 0 10:4 5
4 Auckland City 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
5 Wellington Olympic 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 Napier City 3 1 1 1 4:9 4
8 Birkenhead 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
9 Auckland FC 2 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
10 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
11 Wellington Phoenix 2 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)