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Auckland FC 2 vs Wellington Olympic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Dimairo T.
24' Event
Hale C.
36' Event
Mata B.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Auckland FC 2 and Wellington Olympic finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Auckland FC 2
20%
Draws
40%
Wellington Olympic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Wellington Olympic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Auckland FC 2 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Auckland FC 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland FC 2 Wellington Olympic
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 19 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.87 2.56
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 National League
Auckland FC 2 vs Wellington Olympic
2:3
Nov 15, 2025 National League
Auckland FC 2 vs Wellington Olympic
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hale C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hill H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Wellington Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Mata B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gould K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland FC 2 42 / 100
Wellington Olympic 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland FC 2 Wellington Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland FC 2 scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Wellington Olympic let in goals in 92% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Auckland FC 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auckland FC 2 VS Wellington Olympic
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland FC 2

(Home)
10 Oct
Auckland FC 2
2 : 2
Auckland United
03 Oct
Miramar
2 : 1
Auckland FC 2
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
24 May
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Auckland FC 2
20 May
Auckland FC 2
1 : 0
South Island United
Page 1 of 7

Wellington Olympic

(Away)
10 Oct
Auckland City
2 : 2
Wellington Olympic
03 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 2
Ferrymead Bays
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Cashmere Technical 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
3 Auckland United 3 1 2 0 10:4 5
4 Auckland City 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
5 Wellington Olympic 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 Napier City 3 1 1 1 4:9 4
8 Birkenhead 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
9 Auckland FC 2 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
10 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
11 Wellington Phoenix 2 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)