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Auckland FC vs Adelaide Utd

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 Go Media Stadium, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Sakai H. In: Elliot C.
Out: Sakai H.
25' Event
Cosgrove S.
Assist: De Vries F.
31'
Duzel L.

AI Match Summary

Auckland FC in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Auckland FC
20%
Draws
38%
Adelaide Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auckland FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide Utd haven't matched Auckland FC's recent run of results.
  • Auckland FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Auckland FC Clean Sheet 15%
Adelaide Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland FC Adelaide Utd
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Auckland FC
0:3
May 9, 2026 A-League
Auckland FC vs Adelaide Utd
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Auckland FC
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 A-League
Auckland FC vs Adelaide Utd
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 A-League
Auckland FC vs Adelaide Utd
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cosgrove S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verstraete L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Adelaide Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovanovic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland FC 41 / 100
Adelaide Utd 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland FC Adelaide Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auckland FC scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Adelaide Utd let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Auckland FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Auckland FC VS Adelaide Utd
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland FC

(Home)
23 May
Auckland FC
1 : 0
Sydney FC
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
09 May
Auckland FC
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd
02 May
Auckland FC
2 : 1
Melbourne City
26 Apr
Sydney FC
2 : 2
Auckland FC
Page 1 of 6

Adelaide Utd

(Away)
20 Jul
Playford Patriots
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5
Adelaide Utd
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
09 May
Auckland FC
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd
26 Apr
Melbourne City
1 : 2
Adelaide Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newcastle Jets26153855:3948
2Adelaide Utd26127746:3643
3Auckland FC26119642:2942
4Melbourne Victory26117844:3340
5Sydney FC26116933:2539
6Melbourne City26108833:3338
7Macarthur FC26971037:4434
8Wellington Phoenix26961136:4833
9Central Coast26881035:4232
10Perth Glory26871132:3931
11Brisbane Roar26681227:3626
12Western Sydney Wanderers26561527:4321
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)