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Auckland United W vs Canterbury United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Bennett L.
47' Event
58' Event

AI Match Summary

Auckland United W in this National League Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Auckland United W
15%
Draws
34%
Canterbury United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Auckland United W have won more games recently than Canterbury United W.
  • Auckland United W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auckland United W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 20%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland United W Canterbury United W
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 29 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.6 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.54 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Canterbury United W
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Canterbury United W
8:0
Oct 25, 2024 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Auckland United W
1:4
Sep 24, 2023 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Canterbury United W
4:2
Nov 26, 2022 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Auckland United W
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Groves J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Canterbury United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luxton R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland United W 40 / 100
Canterbury United W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland United W Canterbury United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland United W found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (35 games).

Canterbury United W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Auckland United W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auckland United W VS Canterbury United W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland United W

(Home)
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0
Southern United W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
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Canterbury United W

(Away)
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1
Canterbury United W
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)