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Auckland United W vs Eastern Suburbs W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auckland United W host Eastern Suburbs W in the National League Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Eastern Suburbs W have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while Auckland United W have conceded 0.54 and scored 2.6. Head-to-head, Auckland United W have won 3 to Eastern Suburbs W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.38) point toward Auckland United W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Auckland United W
15%
Draws
53%
Eastern Suburbs W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern Suburbs W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Auckland United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Eastern Suburbs W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 17%
Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland United W Eastern Suburbs W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 29 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.6 2.93
Goals Conceded 0.54 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Auckland United W
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Eastern Suburbs W
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Auckland United W
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Auckland United W vs Eastern Suburbs W
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Eastern Suburbs W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland United W 10 / 100
Eastern Suburbs W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland United W Eastern Suburbs W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland United W's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Recent resilience: Auckland United W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Eastern Suburbs W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Auckland United W VS Eastern Suburbs W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland United W

(Home)
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0
Southern United W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 7

Eastern Suburbs W

(Away)
04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
26 Sept
West Coast Rangers W
0 : 4
Eastern Suburbs W
05 Sept
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 1
Cashmere Technical W
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 0
Ellerslie W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Auckland United W 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Fencibles W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Waterside Karori W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
6 Wellington United W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
7 Canterbury United W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 West Coast Rangers W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
9 Southern United W 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)