Sport Picks
Auckland United W vs Southern United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
New Zealand
National League Women 
Match Events
14'
14'
Edwards S.
19'
19'
Ingham O.
87'
87'
Jensen A.
AI Match Summary
Auckland United W in this National League Women matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland United W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland United W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Auckland United W lately — more wins on the board than Southern United W.
- Win probability leans Auckland United W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Auckland United W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 20%
Southern United W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auckland United W | Southern United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 28 |
| Wins | 29 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.6 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.54 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Southern United W
5:0
Nov 15, 2025 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Southern United W
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Southern United W
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Southern United W
2:0
Oct 28, 2023 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Southern United W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Auckland United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Jensen A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Edwards S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Southern United W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Auckland United W 85 / 100
Southern United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Auckland United W Southern United W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Auckland United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Auckland United W scored in 91% of their last 35 outings.
Defensive concern: Southern United W conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Auckland United W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Auckland United W VS Southern United W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Auckland United W
(Home) 04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1 Auckland United W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0 Southern United W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
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26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0 Southern United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
24 Oct
Auckland United W
1 : 0 West Coast Rangers W
12 Oct
Auckland United W
10 : 0 Central Football W
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Southern United W
(Away) 04 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 3 Fencibles W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0 Southern United W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7 Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0 Central Football W
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26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0 Southern United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0 Southern United W
18 Oct
Petone W
1 : 4 Southern United W
05 Oct
Wellington United W
1 : 1 Southern United W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Suburbs W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Auckland United W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Fencibles W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Waterside Karori W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 5 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 6 | Wellington United W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 7 | Canterbury United W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 8 | West Coast Rangers W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 9 | Southern United W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)
