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Auckland United W vs Wellington United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Harashima Y.
75' Event
Ward K.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2024 game between Auckland United W and Wellington United W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Auckland United W
6%
Draws
90%
Wellington United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Wellington United W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auckland United W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland United W Wellington United W
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 26 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 3.63 4.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 4.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Auckland United W
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Wellington United W
2:0
Nov 19, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Auckland United W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harashima Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ward K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Wellington United W Compare

Avg xG / game 4.32
Avg xA / game 2.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland United W 10 / 100
Wellington United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland United W Wellington United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auckland United W scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Wellington United W has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Auckland United W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Auckland United W VS Wellington United W
3.63 Goals Scored 4.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland United W

(Home)
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
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Wellington United W

(Away)
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)